There are a lot of similarities between the boom and bust of the Beanie Baby market in the 1990s and booms and busts in financial markets. They are often based on the so-called "greater fool theory" which is essentially "I know that I am a fool for buying this at this price, but I am counting on a greater fool to buy it from me in the future".
Anyhow, here's a fun article about the Beanie Baby market: https://www.theguardian.com/lifeandstyle/shortcuts/2019/jun/19/what-beanie-babies-taught-a-generation-about-the-horrors-of-boom-and-bust
A Finance Professor's blog. I am a Professor of Finance in the Poole College of Management at NC State University. My website: https://sites.google.com/ncsu.edu/warr Opinions are my own.
Wednesday, December 18, 2019
Monday, December 16, 2019
Using satellite data to count cars in parking lots
Some hedge funds are using satellite data to count cars in parking lots of retailers.
https://newsroom.haas.berkeley.edu/how-hedge-funds-use-satellite-images-to-beat-wall-street-and-main-street/
https://newsroom.haas.berkeley.edu/how-hedge-funds-use-satellite-images-to-beat-wall-street-and-main-street/
Friday, December 13, 2019
Alphabeticity Bias in 401(k) Investing
It's interesting how little biases creep into how people make investing choices. For example, the alphabetical order of the 401K choices listed in a plan brochure (or website) can influence the choices that investors make.
This is discussed in a recent paper published in the Financial Review (an academic journal that I c0-edit).
Here's the paper
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3295400&mod=article_inline
And here's a link to a discussion in the WSJ. https://www.wsj.com/articles/for-some-401-k-holders-picking-funds-is-as-simple-as-abc-unfortunately-11575861000?shareToken=st5b42cefaa561463394d1c01677966180
There are several solutions to this problem.
This is discussed in a recent paper published in the Financial Review (an academic journal that I c0-edit).
Here's the paper
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3295400&mod=article_inline
And here's a link to a discussion in the WSJ. https://www.wsj.com/articles/for-some-401-k-holders-picking-funds-is-as-simple-as-abc-unfortunately-11575861000?shareToken=st5b42cefaa561463394d1c01677966180
There are several solutions to this problem.
- Don't have so many options on the plan in the first place. If there are just 5 choices, people are more likely to work down the full list.
- Group choices in more logical groups. For example, group by "equity" "bonds" "international". And again, don't provide too many choices.
- Allow re-sorting of the list.
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