The FT has a great article talking about two valuation measures - Q and "cape". Q is well known in finance as basically market value to book value. High Q can mean high valuations (although it can get a bit messy as there are other interpretations of this ratio). "Cape" is a "cyclically adjusted price earnings ratio" - but basically a P/E developed by Robert Shiller. Shiller is the guy who said that stocks were overvalued in the late 1990s, and houses were overalued in the 2000s.
Both these ratios point to valuations being below average since the late 1980s. Stocks, by these measures are cheap. Of course, prices could still fall, and even if they are cheap now, they could stay cheap for a long time. But, if you are a long term investor, now would seem like a good time to be buying.
HT: Newmark's door.
A Finance Professor's blog. I am a Professor of Finance in the Poole College of Management at NC State University. My website: https://sites.google.com/ncsu.edu/warr Opinions are my own.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
What's going on with inflation?
I recently posted an article on the Poole College Thought Leadership page titled: " What's going on with inflation?" . This w...
-
I recently posted an article on the Poole College Thought Leadership page titled: " What's going on with inflation?" . This w...
-
Another inflation illusion post. This time with math. Again the issue here is that you can't just increase the discount rate when you a...
-
Sometimes I come across an academic research paper that is just so interesting I feel compelled to share it with my MBA students. This is o...
No comments:
Post a Comment